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5\u12289?\u-29762?\u-29791?\u22833?\u-29713?-\u29702?\u30001?\u26159?\u8220?\u-29783?\u20135?\u21697?\u26356?\u26377?\u31454?\u20105?\u21147?\u25110?\u21306?\u21035?\u20110?\u31454?\u20105?\u23545?\u25163?\u8221?\u-244?\u26159?\u30495?\u30340?\u21527?\u-225?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u26696?\u20363?\u-29774?\u-30237?\u-230?\u25216?\u26415?\u30340?\u23041?\u-32575?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u-29784?\u-29766?\u-27154?\u-26472?\u-230?\u25216?\u26415?\u30340?\u24110?\u21161?\u22312?\u21738?\u-28212?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb40\sa40\sl300\plain\f0\fs22\b \u31532?\u22235?\u-28440?\u20998?\u-230?\u-26492?\u27979?\u12289?\u25554?\u21333?\u19982?\u-29791?\u21010?\b0\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 1\u12289?\u-26492?\u27979?\u30340?\u-29788?\u-29754?\u-244?\u20026?\u20160?\u20040?\u-26492?\u27979?\u24635?\u26159?\u19981?\u20934?\u30830?\u-248?\u-26492?\u27979?\u30340?\u25968?\u25454?\u26469?\u28304?\u-247?IBP\u30340?\u20215?\u20540?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u-248?1\u-247?\u-26492?\u27979?\u25968?\u25454?\u-31817?\u21462?\u30340?4\u20010?\u28192?\u-28589?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u-248?2\u-247?\u19981?\u-32515?\u25351?\u26395?\u-27392?\u21806?\u-244?\u22240?\u20026?\u-27392?\u21806?\u30340?\u25968?\u25454?\u19981?\u20934?-\u19981?\u-32515?\u25351?\u26395?\u23458?\u25143?\u-244?\u22240?\u20026?\u23458?\u25143?\u20063?\u19981?\u32473?\u-244?\u25105?\u20204?\u24590?\u20040?\u21150?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u-248?3\u-247?\u-26492?\u27979?\u25968?\u25454?\u30340?4\u27425?\u-28729?\u28388?\u19982?\u26368?\u21518?\u19968?\u29256?\u-26492?\u27979?\u25968?\u25454?\u30340?\u24418?\u25104?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 2\u12289?\u-26492?\u27979?\u8800?\u-29791?\u21010?\u-244?\u24456?\u22810?\u-29791?\u21010?\u21592?\u-248?planner\u-247?\u22522?\u26412?\u19978?\u26159?\u25226?\u-26492?\u27979?\u30340?\u25968?\u25454?\u25335?\u-29411?\u-28729?\u26469?\u20570?\u25104?\u-29791?\u21010?\u-244?\u25105?\u20204?\u30340?\u-29791?\u21010?\u24590?\u20040?\u21487?\u-32515?\u20934?\u30830?\u-244?\u-26492?\u27979?\u-26880?\u-30335?\u-28729?\u28388?\u-244?\u22914?\u24456?\u-28729?\u28388?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 ----\u-27392?\u21806?\u-26492?\u27979?\u30340?\u-29713?\u24046?\u-28729?\u22823?\u23548?\u-32268?\u25105?\u20204?\u30340?\u-28217?\u-29395?\u25104?\u26412?\u19978?\u21319?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 ----\u22914?\u20309?\u-28646?\u-28729?\u19968?\u23450?\u30340?\u25216?\u26415?\u25163?\u27573?\u20351?\u25105?\u20204?\u30340?\u-26492?\u27979?\u25968?\u25454?\u-32515?\u22815?\u31283?\u23450?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u-248?1\u-247?\u25968?\u25454?\u-28729?\u28388?\u-248?MTO \u12289?MTS\u-247?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u-248?2\u-247?\u-28712?\u21407?\u25972?\u20010?\u25968?\u25454?\u-28729?\u28388?\u30340?\u-28729?\u31243?\u-248?\u20805?\u20998?\u21033?\u29992?\u-29387?\u21496?\u30340?\u20449?\u24687?\u31995?\u32479?\u-230?PP\u19982?MM\u-247?-\u20160?\u20040?\u26159?\u30495?\u27491?\u24847?\u20041?\u30340?APS \u-26492?\u27979?\u25968?\u25454?\u-28729?\u28388?\u20026?\u-27392?\u21806?\u-29791?\u21010?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u-27392?\u21806?\u-29791?\u21010?\u-28729?\u28388?\u20026?\u29983?\u20135?\u-29791?\u21010?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u29983?\u20135?\u-29791?\u21010?\u-28729?\u28388?\u20026?\u29289?\u26009?\u-29791?\u21010?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u29289?\u26009?\u-29791?\u21010?\u-28729?\u28388?\u20026?\u-28217?\u-29395?\u-29791?\u21010?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u-28217?\u-29395?\u-29791?\u21010?\u-28729?\u28388?\u20026?\u-28217?\u-29395?\u-29790?\u21333?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 3\u12289?\u-26492?\u27979?\u12289?\u-29791?\u21010?\u12289?\u29983?\u20135?\u12289?\u-28217?\u-29395?\u12289?\u24211?\u23384?\u12289?\u21069?\u32622?\u26102?\u-27148?\u31561?\u31561?\u-28711?\u20040?\u22810?\u22240?\u32032?\u24590?\u20040?\u-29693?\u-28339?\u8212?\u8212?\u20851?\u-27346?\u22312?\u20110?\u25968?\u25454?\u-28781?\u20837?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 4\u12289?\u32039?\u24613?\u25554?\u21333?\u30340?\u24212?\u20184?\u26041?\u26696?----\u-27391?\u23450?\u-29791?\u21010?\u30340?\u25805?\u20316?\u-244?\u22914?\u20309?\u25805?\u20316?\u-244?\u19982?\u25554?\u21333?\u24182?\u19981?\u30683?\u30462?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u32039?\u24613?\u25554?\u21333?\u30340?\u24179?\u-30623?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u29289?\u26009?\u30340?\u24211?\u23384?\u19982?\u20171?\u20837?\u26102?\u-27148?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 5\u12289?\u-24752?\u22871?\u29575?\u30340?\u20215?\u20540?\u31649?\u29702?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 6\u12289?\u-24752?\u22871?\u29575?\u30340?\u-28209?\u21270?\u21644?\u24314?\u27169?\u31649?\u29702?\u-248?\u20309?\u-29677?\u-28339?\u22871?\u25110?\u19981?\u-28339?\u22871?\u-247?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u26696?\u20363?\u-29774?\u-30237?\u-230?\u-26492?\u27979?\u25968?\u25454?\u26469?\u28304?\u30340?\u22810?\u20803?\u21270?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u-29784?\u-29766?\u-27154?\u-26472?\u-230?\u-29791?\u21010?\u30340?\u20934?\u30830?\u29575?\u30340?\u25552?\u21319?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb40\sa40\sl300\plain\f0\fs22\b \u31532?\u20116?\u-28440?\u20998?\u-230?\u23433?\u20840?\u30340?\u24211?\u23384?\u30340?\u-29762?\u32622?\u20307?\u31995?\u19982?\u21608?\u-28820?\u29575?\u25552?\u21319?\b0\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 1\u12289?\u8220?\u-26890?\u24211?\u23384?\u8221?\u26159?\u19990?\u30028?\u19978?\u26368?\u22823?\u30340?\u-29682?\u-30208?-\u21407?\u22240?\u26159?\u20160?\u20040?-\u24555?\u28040?\u21697?\u30340?\u20869?\u28085?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 2\u12289?\u23433?\u20840?\u24211?\u23384?\u30340?\u-29762?\u32622?\u-244?MAD\u30340?\u24212?\u29992?(MAD-mean absolute deviation)\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u-248?1\u-247?\u23433?\u20840?\u24211?\u23384?\u19982?\u24211?\u23384?\u30340?\u21306?\u21035?-\u21160?\u24577?\u24615?\u-28797?\u24378?\u-32756?\u31283?\u23450?\u24615?\u-28797?\u24369?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u-248?2\u-247?\u24211?\u23384?\u27169?\u22411?\u30340?\u20351?\u29992?\u-230?6\u20010?\u20851?\u-32684?\u-30335?\u32032?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u21608?\u26399?\u20869?\u30340?\u-26492?\u27979?\u25968?\u25454?\u24179?\u22343?\u20540?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u21608?\u26399?\u20869?\u30340?\u23454?\u-27067?\u-27392?\u21806?\u25968?\u25454?\u24179?\u22343?\u20540?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u21608?\u26399?\u20869?\u30340?MAD\u20540?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 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\u-248?2\u-247?\u24211?\u23384?\u25511?\u21046?\u30340?\u-29713?\u21306?\u23601?\u26159?\u-230?\u19968?\u30452?\u-29788?\u20026?\u26159?\u20179?\u24211?\u30340?\u-27154?\u-26472? 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